These rankings are based off of team performances at the NAQT HSNCT and PACE NSC, and how many of those players are returning. Flaws with these rankings can be due to:
1) Being unable to project individual player performance rates compared with those of others.
2) Teams that did not bring key players to HSNCT or NSC.
3) Difficulties projecting how players from multiple teams will perform together once on the same team.
4) Teams that were unable to bring additional teams to HSNCT or NSC.
5) Teams that return all of their players could be overrated.
6) “Shadow effects,” where a fantastic player’s stats cover up the possible impact of a teammate.
These rankings only consider performances at the NAQT HSNCT and the PACE NSC. I am of the opinion that if you want to be considered a major high school team, you have to play the big boy tournaments.
I’d like to thank everyone for following the blog this year, and for the feedback and assistance I’ve received. I’m happy to be told that, due to these rankings, teams have received the acclaim and support they deserve for their talents. That said, I am very happy to have finished this for the year; I don’t believe you’ll see a set of rankings extend to 200 teams again.
I’ve broken the top 40 or so into tiers, in an attempt to show how some teams are grouped tightly together. Just because one team’s a spot ahead in the rankings doesn’t mean that the decision was an easy one to make.
Best of luck to teams this weekend at HSNCT, NSC in two weekends, and NASAT the weekend after that. I hope to see many of you in Columbus the weekend of the 16th.
Your final pre-nationals rankings are after the jump.
I’ve updated the difficulty adjustment values (available after the jump). The final rankings before nationals should appear by Thursday if all goes well.
It should be noted that the final rankings will display teams’ adjusted points-per-bonus, rather than their “raw” score.