Here’s the latest rankings. And it’ll be the last until May. We’ll have another PPB adjustment calculation posted then (I’m also going to update the listings for that shortly on the appropriate page). I’ll also try to put together a set of projections for SSNCT before that happens, and then one final set of pre-nationals rankings.
I have mixed feelings about doing these in the first place, but since there’s a national championship, I thought I’d do my best at putting together rankings.
This really reminds me of late 90s high school quiz bowl, when the power teams were largely clustered geographically and there weren’t nearly as many teams playing on pyramidal questions.
I really don’t have a comfort level here in terms of how accurate I think these adjustments are. Some of them are based on straight translations for my high school calculations. So, don’t go betting money based off of this.
Also, I can almost guarantee that I’ve mixed up the home states of teams in these rankings. Let me know if I messed anything up.
We’ve got a new #2 this time and 3 teams entering the rankings!
I’ve recalculated the adjustments for difficulty (I hope to post them later this week). I also played around with some population based data just to take a look at some things.
This is a fairly minor update, but we have 13 new teams entering the rankings and slight movement in the top 10. We get out first Iowa team since the end of the 2012 season, a Louisiana team enters the top 100, and we have multiple teams from Washington state for the first time ever. IMSA remains ranked higher nationally than they are in their silly IHSA Regionals*.
Also, seven teams move up at least 10 spots, with the biggest rise being 25 spots. Ten teams enter the rankings for the first time in their school history as well!
ETA on the next high school update: circa March 3rd.
*Edit one: Originally indicated that the problematic tournament was Masonic Regionals, when it was actually IHSA Regionals. Apologies for the error.
Maybe I should just hang this up, after a group of coaches somehow decided to seed Wheaton North, Metea Valley and Naperville North above IMSA. This isn’t a slight against any of those three teams: they’re all very solid and anyone who would lose to them should not be ashamed. But even if you don’t trust my aPPB method (which ranks IMSA third in the world), you’d be very hard pressed to make a reasonable argument that IMSA is anything other than a top five or ten team this year. Whatever system that resulted in this decision can only be declared irreparably broken.
NAQT IS-A Sets: -3.89
IS Sets: 0.00
ACF Fall: 1.98
Penn Bowl: 8.80