2016-17 Preseason Rankings

A quick reminder: please consider donating to the fundraiser for PACE I’m doing based off of my work for the rankings. You can find more information here. PACE is a great organization that I’ve really enjoyed working for for a long time now. Any gift would be greatly appreciated.

I’m very excited for this upcoming season. I hope everyone has a lot of fun and a lot of success.

1. Katy Taylor A (TX) (pre-nationals 2016 ranking: 6) – 26.49
2. Westview A (CA) (12) – 26.24
3. Hunter A (NY) (9) – 26.18
4. Chattahoochee A (GA) (19) – 25.42
5. Detroit Catholic Central A (MI) (1) – 25.24

6. Ithaca A (NY) (21) – 25.14
7. Dorman A (SC) (13) – 25.10
8. Naperville North A (IL) (22) – 24.86
9. Barrington A (IL) (33) – 24.33
10. Stevenson A (IL) (32) – 24.31

11. Dunbar A (KY) (38) – 24.28
12. St. John’s A (TX) (40) – 24.01
13. Detroit Country Day A (MI) (51) – 23.75
14. LASA A (TX) (2) – 23.20
15. Battle Ground Academy A (TN) (76) – 23.07

16. Hume-Fogg A (TN) (71) – 22.98
17. Darien A (CT) (70) – 22.57
18. Lehigh Valley Academy A (PA) (75) – 22.54
19. Irvine A (CA) (84) – 22.42
20. Phillips Academy A (MA) (89)- 22.35

21. Harker A (CA) (79)- 22.21
22. Mountain Lakes A (NJ) (100) – 22.11
23. Washington A (MO) (86) – 22.01
24. Southside A (SC) (87) – 21.95
25. Lisgar A (ON) (88) – 21.92

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10 thoughts on “2016-17 Preseason Rankings

    • Every stats page lists them as Katy Taylor, so that’s the name I’m going with for them. But you’re correct as to the actual school name and location.

    • IIRC, Katy Taylor was mostly used for regular season tournaments, while James E. Taylor was used for national tournaments. The names are pretty much interchangeable.

    • They’re each team’s adjusted PPB based off returning PPG from their best performance last year, with B team performances added in at a reduced rate as necessary.

    • I suspect that Fred’s model did not account for just how much of a shadow effect Ryan had on the underclassmen. If it didn’t include data for HSNCT/NSC, it also might not have taken into account a fair amount of improvement by last year’s sophomores. My best guess as to the “actual” ppb that a full-strength TJ A would put up at the start of the season would average between 23 and 24.

  1. Double, double toil and trouble;
    Fire burn and cauldron bubble.
    ++++++
    Cool it with a baboon’s blood,
    Then the charm is firm and good.
    ++++++
    Macbeth’s witches will let us know
    how ‘firm and good’ are the preseason
    prognostications’ — Good Luck to all!

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